Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000100 0.000118 0.000137 0.000158 0.000182 0.000207 0.000236
2024-12-22 0.000078 0.000102 0.000129 0.000161 0.000198 0.000239 0.000288
2024-12-29 0.000065 0.000091 0.000122 0.000160 0.000206 0.000258 0.000321
2025-01-05 0.000054 0.000082 0.000116 0.000161 0.000215 0.000278 0.000356
2025-01-12 0.000044 0.000071 0.000107 0.000155 0.000214 0.000285 0.000374
2025-01-19 0.000039 0.000068 0.000106 0.000159 0.000226 0.000308 0.000411
2025-01-26 0.000031 0.000059 0.000098 0.000152 0.000224 0.000312 0.000425
2025-02-02 0.000027 0.000055 0.000095 0.000154 0.000231 0.000329 0.000455
2025-02-09 0.000023 0.000050 0.000091 0.000152 0.000235 0.000339 0.000477
2025-02-16 0.000021 0.000049 0.000092 0.000157 0.000247 0.000362 0.000515
2025-02-23 0.000019 0.000046 0.000091 0.000159 0.000254 0.000377 0.000542
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000041 0.000084 0.000153 0.000251 0.000380 0.000554
2025-03-09 0.000012 0.000037 0.000080 0.000151 0.000255 0.000392 0.000579
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000034 0.000078 0.000151 0.000259 0.000405 0.000607
2025-03-23 0.000009 0.000032 0.000076 0.000153 0.000267 0.000423 0.000640
2025-03-30 0.000007 0.000029 0.000073 0.000151 0.000271 0.000435 0.000665
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000025 0.000068 0.000147 0.000269 0.000439 0.000681
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000024 0.000068 0.000150 0.000279 0.000460 0.000718
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000021 0.000063 0.000144 0.000275 0.000461 0.000729
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000019 0.000062 0.000145 0.000281 0.000477 0.000759
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000017 0.000059 0.000144 0.000284 0.000487 0.000782
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000017 0.000060 0.000149 0.000296 0.000511 0.000825
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000016 0.000059 0.000150 0.000303 0.000527 0.000857